Will North Korea trigger world war 3?

North Korea’s nuclear history: North Korea has conducted five underground nuclear tests so far. Everything started on 9 of October 2006 with the announcement by Pyongyang that it had carried out its first nuclear explosion. North Korea said the underground nuclear explosion, carried out in defiance of international warnings, was a success and had not resulted in any leak of radiation. The Korean Central News Agency announced that nuclear test would maintain “peace and stability” in the region and named it “the great leap in the building of a great prosperous, powerful socialist nation”. The explosion was powered by plutonium, its yield was less than a kiloton, so it is more likely to be considered a fizzle rather than fully effective bomb. Nevertheless this North Korea’s action provoked a lot of disagreement all over the world, as the test came just two days after the country was warned by the United Nations Security Council that kind of actions could lead to severe consequences.

On 25 May 2009, North Korea had conducted a second nuclear test. Like the first an underground tests in tunnels at Punggye-ri nuclear test site, a remote mountainous area located in Kilju County, North Hamgyong Province. The second blast was bigger with estimated yield of about 2-8 kilotons, due to seismic activity signals detected in Punggye-ri region. Earthquakes can be differentiated from explosions (whether chemical or nuclear) because their seismic waves have different characteristics. Despite this fact it is hard to provide conclusive proof of a nuclear test, because of absence of radioactive effluents. Both of this nuclear explosions were made to prove the North Korea’s nuclear capacity before the Kim Jong-il death.

On the 12 February 2013, unusual seismic activity was again detected around Punggye-ri and North Korea said it had conducted it’s third nuclear test in seven years. The KCNA news agency said it had used a “miniaturized” and lighter nuclear device, indicating it had again used plutonium. This explosion was bigger than two previous, its yield was estimated to be up to 15 kilotons. This was the first test under the country’s new leader, Kim Jong-un, and it was an open act of defiance to the Chinese, who urged the young leader not to risk open confrontation by setting off the weapon. Such North Korea’s action was condemned by the United Nations and US government. But the fact is that the Obama administration had not much sanctions what could be applied in order to influence North Korea. The only sanction what would hurt North Korea would be cutting off the oil supply and other aids from China, but Chinese leadership has proved either unwilling or unable to help.

The fourth test of nuclear explosive device took place on 6 January 2016, and North Korea claimed it to be a “hydrogen bomb”, which refers to a thermonuclear devices, or a two-phase explosion that includes a nuclear fission trigger to initiate a fusion reaction. A plutonium pit at the core of the device causes the larger, fusion reaction using hydrogen isotopes. This is considered to be technically challenging and only the United States, Russia, France, and China have tested thermonuclear devices. Many experts doubt that North Korea has achieved this technical step. Others argue that the January 6 test was probably not a hydrogen bomb test because of the low yield relative to other hydrogen or thermonuclear tests.

The latest and fifth nuclear test was conducted on 9 September 2016. North Korea announced that this was a successful test of a warhead that can be mounted onto a rocket. A 5.3 magnitude tremor had been detected near Punggye-ri nuclear test site by the International Monitoring System (IMS). Estimates of the explosive yield of the latest test have varied from 10 to 20 kilotons. In recent months North Korea has conducted a series of ballistic missile launches from a submarine– three of which land in Japan’s exclusive economic zone – and has caused new concern in the US, Japan and South Korea, as missiles fired from below the surface of the sea are harder to detect in advance. Like all the previous nuclear weapon tests, this one provoked strong reaction from world leaders and ministries including US president Barack Obama and China’s foreign ministry which have condemned the test. Obama had expressed concern about North Korea’s nuclear activity during a summit with South-east Asian leaders in Laos: “We will continue to put some of the toughest pressure that North Korea has ever been under as a consequence of this behavior.”

But where are we now?

Just a few days ago the US navy deployed a strike group towards the western Pacific Ocean to provide a presence near the Korean peninsula after North Korea started a string of military tests including submarine-launched missile tests towards Japanese waters. April 7: Japan s preparing to send several warships to join a US aircraft carrier strike group heading for the Korean peninsula, in a show of force designed to deter North Korea from conducting further missile and nuclear tests. April 11: China ‘deploys 150,000 troops to deal with possible North Korean refugees over fears Trump may strike and North Korea announced it would defend itself against “reckless acts of aggression”. April 12: New satellite imagines suggest that North Korea might soon conduct another underground nuclear test.  April 15: China issued a stern warning Friday that a conflict over North Korea could break out “at any moment”, as Pyongyang vowed a “merciless” response to any US military action. April 16: In spite of the approaching US and Japanese presence North Korea fired a missile from the east coast near the city of Sinpo, which blew up almost immediately. April 17: Russia has reportedly moved weapons towards Vladivostok, just eight miles from the border with North Korea. Although unconfirmed by the Russian government, the movement of tanks and missiles was spotted by terrified people living in the border city and posted on social media. And the Sun reported: “DICTATOR Kim Jong-un has ordered his elite troops to snatch Western tourists from South Korea and use them as hostages if the US attacks”.

But the nuclear arsenal of Kim Jong-un should not be the only concern of the world. As Tensions between North Korea and Donald Trump grow, so do concerns about Kim Jong-un’s capabilities to launch a deadly sarin gas attack on his enemies. Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said that North Korea may already have the capability to deliver missiles equipped with sarin nerve agent as warheads. Referring to Bashar al-Assad’s recently alleged sarin nerve gas attack in Syria which killed at least 86 people including 27 children, Mr. Abe said Japan should bolster its missile defense. Sarin gas is an odorless and colorless deadly chemical weapon which works as a lethal nerve agent, even at low concentrations, and is considered a weapon of mass destruction. It is roughly 26 times more potent than cyanide. There is an antidote for sarin but it must be used quickly before the gas causes irreparable damage. According to South Korea’s 2016 defense white paper, North Korea could have up to 2.500 chemical weapons, including anthrax, smallpox and plague, and it has been developing and modifying its nuclear, chemical and biological weapons capabilities since 1970’s.

Today we can read in the news that experts believe that the next nuclear test will happen either Vice President Pence is in the region, or April 25th, which is a military anniversary here. The conflict in North Korea is rapidly escalating and starting an other war is for sure the last thing the world and especially Asia needs. It might be avoidable, but to do that you would need diplomats and I can’t see them on either side.

10 replies
  1. stiletto
    stiletto says:

    Why US sticks it’s big nose everywhere? North Korea is not Afganistan or Syria, which can’t hit back the US. NK has a huge nuclear capabilities, and if war broke out, the US will not escape unscathed.

    Reply
    • scentedimased
      scentedimased says:

      North Korea is a problem that is needed to deal with sooner or later. Better sooner before it starts to launch nukes everywhere.

      Reply
    • noGamer1960
      noGamer1960 says:

      Until very recently the US press was full with news talking about Trump’s affair with Russia, his debts to China, possible bribery and his constant lies. Calls for impeachment got louder and louder. What happened then? A MOAB on Afghanistan, some bombing in Lydia and provoking a war in North Korea and suddenly the press has a new topic and are of his neck. So convenient, isn’t it?

      Reply
  2. MeWatching
    MeWatching says:

    Did the North Korea conflict escalated just because Trump can not control his Twittermania? WASHINGTON—The Navy confirmed Tuesday that it didn’t send one of its aircraft carriers directly toward North Korea amid growing tensions with Pyongyang, despite representations by President Donald Trump and his top defense advisers that it was on its way. 🙂 what kind of president the US has – that becomes ridiculous. If he is a comedian than he should say so!

    Reply
  3. Bi8ll
    Bi8ll says:

    Don’t think it is possible that North Korea will atack US or Japan or any other country. Really, how many countries invaded by NK you know? Now, just think, how many countries were invaded by US for the last 100 years? Don’t know real reasons, but it seems just an American propaganda telling us that Kim Jong-un is bad, totally unpredictable guy. For me Trump seems far more unpredictable and threatening.

    Reply
  4. John
    John says:

    On this Sunday, 14 May, North Korea test-fired a ballistic missile in attempt to test the new South Korean liberal president Moon Jae-In, who was inaugurated on Wednesday. The missile flew more than 700 km and landed in the Sea of Japan. US President calls for strongest sanctions against North Korea.

    Reply
    • ARASUN
      ARASUN says:

      Chancellor Angela Merkel’s government is currently working on sanctions against North Korea in response to the country’s nuclear threats. They are going to close a hostel in the centre of Berlin run by the North Korean embassy.

      Reply

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